← Back to leaderboard

Colt Keith

MLBAM ID 690993 · Data through 2026-08-09

Qualified Favorable rank #70 Unfavorable rank #40
-0.29 runs / 100

95% interval: [-5.41, +4.87]

-0.29 runs/100 (95% interval: -5.41 to 4.87)0
Total Contact Luck Runs
-0.7
Eligible BBE
248
Games
102
Share from provisional components
46%

Contact Luck is a retrospective description of realized outcomes, not a measure of stable batting talent and not a projection of future performance. The 95% interval reflects sampling uncertainty in the estimate itself — it does not indicate whether the underlying effect is "real" or "significant," and overlapping zero does not mean the observation is unreliable or should be discounted.

Component decomposition

Runs per 100 eligible batted balls attributed to each stage of the play.

ComponentRuns / 100
Contact +2.30
Defensive execution -2.79
Advancement -0.28
Unexplained residual +0.48

Component status

ComponentStatus
Contact Calibrated
Outfield defense Provisional
Infield defense Limited subgroup evidence
Advancement Limited subgroup evidence
View technical reason codes
ComponentModel statusReason codes
Contact calibrated, unavailable contact_result_unavailable_other
Outfield defense not_calibrated, provisional, unavailable base_training_ineligible, contact_only_fallback, estimated_hang_time_input, infield_credited_hit_location, missing_geometry, near_wall_provisional, not_outfield_air_ball_bb_type, position_spray_sector_proxy
Infield defense calibrated_with_limited_subgroup_evidence, unavailable excluded_strategic_play, infield_limited_subgroup_evidence, missing_responsible_infield_position, not_ground_ball_bb_type, outfield_credited_hit_location
Advancement calibrated_with_limited_subgroup_evidence, unavailable advancement_rare_class_limited, not_advancement_safe_event, not_outfield_air_ball_bb_type, trivial_no_advancement_opportunity

Season-to-date trend

Contact Luck Runs / 100 across every stored historical snapshot for this player. Points are plotted at their true snapshot dates — a gap between points (such as a missing snapshot day) is never filled in or estimated.

02026-08-05: -0.28 runs/100 (95% interval: -5.68 to 5.01); 240 eligible BBE, small_sampleAug 52026-08-06: -0.28 runs/100 (95% interval: -5.68 to 5.01); 240 eligible BBE, small_sampleAug 62026-08-08: -0.06 runs/100 (95% interval: -5.08 to 5.10); 245 eligible BBE, qualifiedAug 82026-08-09: -0.29 runs/100 (95% interval: -5.41 to 4.87); 248 eligible BBE, qualifiedAug 9